Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.052418 1.182234 1.323614 1.489313 1.678559 1.888378 2.139207
2026-02-01 0.812214 0.975224 1.166422 1.408316 1.707707 2.068045 2.537499
2026-02-08 0.665944 0.842920 1.063155 1.359601 1.751587 2.256854 2.965044
2026-02-15 0.567727 0.750580 0.989591 1.328516 1.802610 2.450930 3.419659
2026-02-22 0.517037 0.710479 0.974655 1.367278 1.945377 2.780192 4.104400
2026-03-01 0.468787 0.665993 0.945734 1.378929 2.046321 3.058113 4.752105
2026-03-08 0.418146 0.611249 0.894265 1.348442 2.076449 3.228576 5.252826
2026-03-15 0.375632 0.563324 0.846615 1.316160 2.096529 3.381329 5.742192
2026-03-22 0.359568 0.553550 0.855316 1.372501 2.265113 3.797110 6.749521
2026-03-29 0.341719 0.538795 0.853972 1.411059 2.406831 4.183704 7.765701
2026-04-05 0.323945 0.522178 0.847445 1.439152 2.532216 4.555906 8.814808
2026-04-12 0.303749 0.499499 0.828247 1.442199 2.611157 4.850333 9.755640
2026-04-19 0.279533 0.468866 0.794277 1.418159 2.642694 5.070646 10.612020
2026-04-26 0.252228 0.430576 0.743492 1.357699 2.596735 5.131527 11.137766
2026-05-03 0.230822 0.400920 0.705495 1.317446 2.586137 5.264403 11.855952
2026-05-10 0.213439 0.377029 0.675827 1.290068 2.598291 5.447413 12.730570
2026-05-17 0.206096 0.371000 0.678989 1.328700 2.755466 5.975420 14.574529
2026-05-24 0.196146 0.359133 0.669726 1.340454 2.855036 6.386732 16.208147
2026-05-31 0.182532 0.339067 0.642520 1.311105 2.857535 6.567012 17.254011
2026-06-07 0.169968 0.320064 0.615791 1.279895 2.851585 6.725509 18.274468
2026-06-14 0.166977 0.319860 0.627294 1.334532 3.057795 7.455527 21.156967
2026-06-21 0.162441 0.316119 0.631042 1.371911 3.226931 8.118147 24.007987
2026-06-28 0.157256 0.310603 0.630484 1.399139 3.374230 8.747581 26.923393